China promises to increase carbon emissions, nuclear power and other important alternative energy sources
Source: Daily Economic News Date: 2015-07-07
Under the multiple pressures of environmental protection and climate, China's carbon dioxide emission reduction has continued to accelerate.
On July 6, Zou Min, deputy director of the National Center for Climate Change Strategy Research and International Cooperation, visited the Chinese government website and pointed out that China's emission reduction efforts after 2020 will show an accelerated growth trend. The average rate of emission reduction is 3.9% per year, and from 2020 to 2030, China's emission reduction rate will reach 4.4%.
At the same time, Zou Jun emphasized that China's non-fossil energy installed capacity is expected to increase by about 900 million kilowatts on the basis of 2014. The average annual non-fossil energy installed capacity will increase from 41.5 million kilowatts from 2005 to 2020 to 2020 to 2030. 62.8 million kilowatts per year.
In response, Zheng Baowei, director of the Research Center for Journalism and Social Development of Renmin University of China, said in an interview with reporters that China is increasing its efforts to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, and is now working internally, and the peak emissions may be advanced to 2027.
CO2 emissions may reach peak after 15 years
The Nineteenth Meeting of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (hereinafter referred to as the Convention), which was held in Warsaw, Poland, at the end of 2013, invited all countries to submit their national contributions to address climate change as early as possible before the Paris meeting at the end of 2015.
6On June 30 this year, the Chinese government submitted to the Convention Secretariat the National Contribution Document on Climate Change, “Strengthening the Response to Climate Change-China's National Contribution”, and became the fifteenth party to submit its national independent contribution.
China's autonomous action goals set by 2030 are: CO2 emissions will peak around 2030 and strive to reach their peak as soon as possible; CO2 emissions per unit of GDP will fall by 60% to 65% compared to 2005, and non-fossil energy will account for the proportion of primary energy consumption It has reached about 20%, and the forest volume has increased by about 4.5 billion cubic meters compared with 2005. China will also continue to proactively adapt to climate change, develop mechanisms and capabilities to effectively resist climate change risks in key areas such as agriculture, forestry, and water resources, as well as cities, coastal areas, and ecologically fragile areas, and gradually improve its forecasting, early warning, and disaster prevention and mitigation systems.
In fact, as early as November 25, 2009, the State Council had decided that by 2020, China ’s carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP would fall by 40% to 45% compared to 2005. Action, by 2020 China's non-fossil energy will account for about 15% of primary energy consumption.
Zou Yan believes that compared with the existing emission reduction commitments in 2020, China's emission reduction efforts after 2020 will fully show an accelerated growth trend, and action will be further strengthened. China's average rate of emission reductions from 2005 to 2020 is 3.9% per year, and from 2020 to 2030, China's emission reduction rate will reach 4.4%, and the annual rate of decline is an increase.
At the same time, Zou Jun introduced that China's non-fossil energy installed capacity in 2030 is expected to increase by about 900 million kilowatts on the basis of 2014, which is much higher than the same period in the United States and Europe. The average annual non-fossil energy installed capacity is 4,150 from 2005 to 2020. Million kilowatts, up to 62.8 million kilowatts from 2020 to 2030.
In this regard, Zheng Baowei said that in terms of energy, wind power, hydropower, nuclear power, etc. are all working hard to develop. Among them, the development of wind power will be more and more, and the goal should be sure.
Alternative energy needed to achieve autonomous action
"I want to look at it from a historical perspective. China's self-contribution goal is a great initiative. It should be said that it has done something that no one has done before. In this regard, it is powerful." China's emissions reductions are highly recognized.
However, there are still some concerns in the industry to achieve the 2030 autonomous action goal. From the perspective of coal consumption alone, in 2014, China's coal consumption was about 3.5 billion tons.
In this regard, Zou Yan believes that in order to achieve the goals, resources, funds, technology, etc. are needed, and alternative energy sources are needed, such as natural gas to replace coal and nuclear energy.
The 2014 energy consumption data released by the National Bureau of Statistics shows that nuclear power generation increased by 18.8%, hydropower generation increased by 15.7%, and thermal power generation decreased by 0.3%. Coal consumption accounts for 66.0% of total energy consumption, and clean energy consumption of hydropower, wind power, nuclear power, and natural gas accounts for 16.9% of total energy consumption.
It is not difficult to see that although non-fossil energy sources have seen rapid growth in nuclear and hydroelectric power generation, there is still a large gap between total mass and coal consumption.
Zou Jun introduced that in the process of urbanization in the next 10-15 years, the use of high-energy-consuming and high-emission materials will bring huge emission pressures; as incomes increase, it may be in the period of 2030, The proportion of manufacturing industry will decline, and emissions of construction and transportation based on consumer activities will increase. At present, two-thirds of emissions in developed countries are emissions from construction and transportation. China should make plans and prepare early.
Zheng Baowei said, "[Achieving the 2030 target] must be very difficult, especially the gap between equipment and technology, and we have always emphasized cooperation with foreign countries, mainly in terms of equipment and technology."
There are also issues of public awareness, abnormal climate change, etc. Zheng Baowei said that there should be ideological preparations in these areas and think about the difficulties a bit more, but the goal is still completely sure.